Stop guessing and guessing wildly, try this minimalist mechanical trading method.

The retail traders who lose the most money in the market are never those who can't read candlestick charts,
but those who rely entirely on **I think** for all their buy and sell decisions.
Feeling it will go up, they go all in; feeling it will go down, they cut their losses,
ten trades, seven or eight end in failure.
The essence is this: your emotions, your illusions, are all deliberately guided by the main players.
Later, I completely abandoned subjective predictions and only used a set of brainless mechanical trading logic,
no reliance on intuition, no reliance on fantasies, only looking at the price + a 20-day moving average, simple, brutal, easy to execute.
The entire set of rules is just three points, just follow them strictly:
First, the moving average determines the main trend, do not trade against the trend
Price staying above the 20-day moving average, with the average flat or turning upward, only go long, never short.
If the 20-day line continues downward, the overall market weakens, go straight to cash and watch the show, no need to look further.
Second, breakout signals entry, control position size in batches
On the premise of staying above the 20-day line, break through the recent three-day high, enter with 30% of the position;
Stop-loss is uniformly set just below the 20-day line with a small space, locking in small losses per trade.
If the price continues to rise and repeatedly breaks through resistance levels, add a little more, with a maximum of 60% of the position, never go all-in betting on the trend.
Third, unconditional exit on breakdown, avoid holding through
As soon as the close effectively drops below the 20-day moving average, no hesitation, no waiting for a rebound, no excuses.
The next day, close all positions and walk away, no fighting, no adding to losing positions, no hoping for a reversal.
There is no bottom to the decline, the trend is broken, stop-loss is for survival.
This method looks simple, without flashy indicators,
the win rate is just over 50%, but the risk-reward ratio is maximized.
Identify the trend correctly, steadily earn 10%+ profit;
If the judgment is wrong, strict stop-loss limits the loss to 2%-3%.
Long-term compound interest crushes all short-term reckless operations,
I am slowly building my account steadily with this minimalist moving average system.
In the end, trading is never about how complicated the technique is,
but whether you can control your emotions and stick to the rules.
One moving average, one set of entry conditions, one ironclad stop-loss rule,
is enough to survive long-term in the futures market.
Abandon subjective predictions, replace heartbeat with mechanical rules,
you'll find that making money actually becomes simpler. $BTC $ETH