$ETH Signal】1H MACD bullish momentum is exhausting, 4H bearish trend continues


$ETH: In the 4-hour reporting period, the MACD green bars keep expanding, and the bearish-dominant setup remains unchanged. Although the 1-hour MACD forms a golden cross, the bar size is shrinking, and the strength of the bullish counterattack is gradually fading. RSI is hovering around 44, showing insufficient buying momentum.

🎯 Direction: Short. The current price is below EMA20 and EMA50; after a rebound meets resistance, there’s a high probability of further downside.

⚡ Entry/Order: Enter directly at 2310.52 at the current price. The price is within the suggested range, so there’s no need to wait.

🛑 Stop loss: 2358.50. If a large bullish candle pierces through EMA50, admit the mistake and exit.

🚀 Target 1: 2293.85 — support at the lower Bollinger band on the 1-hour chart.

🚀 Target 2: 2272.31 — near the lower Bollinger band on the 4-hour chart, also a dense trading area from the prior period.

🛡️ Trade management:
- Execution strategy: When it reaches 2293.85, reduce the position by 50%, and move the stop loss to the break-even point. If the price rebounds above 2320, consider exiting with a small loss.

Deeper logic: The 1-hour funding rate is still negative (-0.0133%), and short-term short-selling sentiment is dominant. On the 4-hour chart, the MACD bars continue to diverge downward, and the bearish alignment is clear. The buy-volume ratio in the most recent 1-hour K-line is only 0.38; selling pressure is far greater than buy-side support. The risk-reward ratio is close to 1:2, and 2358 offers a solid defensive value in terms of cost-effectiveness. Keep in mind that if the broader market suddenly spikes upward, it could trigger the stop loss—but the overall bearish structure has not been broken. Follow the plan.

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