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Just caught something interesting about Japanese investors pulling massive amounts out of the bond market. Back in February, they dumped a record 3.07 trillion yen in foreign bonds - the biggest monthly exodus in 16 months. That's roughly 19.4 billion dollars in one month alone.
What's driving this? Apparently U.S. bond yields kept falling while Japanese bond yields were climbing, making domestic options suddenly look way more attractive. Japanese investors specifically hammered long-term foreign bonds with 3.42 trillion yen in net sales, the highest outflow in 16 months. They did pick up some short-term foreign bonds though, around 352 billion yen, so not a complete pullback.
Interesting part: at the same time they're retreating from foreign bonds, they're actually buying foreign stocks. February marked the second straight month of net buying there, around 642 billion yen. Barclays reckons this stock buying is tied to Japan's NISA program - basically a government tax-free investment account designed to push household savings into equities. The central bank data from January showed they were also picking up U.S. Treasuries and European bonds, so the picture's a bit mixed.
Looks like Japanese investors are doing some serious portfolio reshuffling. The bond market shift is pretty significant given how long it's been since we saw numbers like this.