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First, ETH Ether key support and resistance level
support level (potential buying area):
Short-term support: $1,800-1,790 (strong support at the daily level, tested multiple times recently without breaking)
Medium-term support: $1,750-1,700 (breaking below may trigger panic selling)
Key pivot point: $1,865 (opening price of the day, breaking below confirms trend reversal)
resistance level (potential selling area):
Short-term resistance: $1,920-$1,940 (suppressed by the midline of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands, recent rebounds have been blocked multiple times)
Strong resistance: $2,000-$2,050 (needs a breakthrough in volume to open up upward space)
Two, technical indicator signals
Trend and Momentum:
MACD green bar expands, KDJ turns downwards, indicating a bearish dominance;
The Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, with the price being suppressed by the middle rail at $1,900, and the red TD2 signal confirms a short-term bearish trend;
RSI(14) is close to 30, entering the oversold zone, but no obvious divergence has appeared, and the rebound momentum is insufficient.
Risk Warning:
Be cautious of black swan fluctuations caused by CPI data or regulatory news during the early morning period;
Whale accounts are selling ETH in large numbers, and the liquidity crisis may trigger further declines.
3. Operational Strategy Recommendations
Scenario 1: Bearish Dominance (Current Mainstream Trend)
Entry point: Short the rebound in the 1,920-1,940 dollar zone
Stop-loss set at above $1,990 (exit stop-loss if broken)
Target points:
First target: $1,850-1,800 (Fibonacci retracement level)
Second target: $1,750 (panic selling zone)
Scenario 2: Bull fight back (requires fundamental cooperation)
Entry conditions: Volume breakthrough of $2,000 and standing firm, MACD red column synchronously enlarged
Stop loss set at $1,930 below (exit if the previous low fails)
Target level: $2,050-$2,100 (upper resistance level of Bollinger Bands)
Scenario 3: High sell and low buy in a volatile market
Strategy: operate within the range of $1,800-$1,950, with a stop loss of ±$50
Risk warning: If it falls below $1,750, stop loss immediately and switch to safe-haven assets such as Bitcoin
Four, risk management advice
Position control: The risk of a single trade ≤ 1% of the total capital, avoid high leverage (such as above 10 times)
Trailing stop loss: After making a profit, for every $100 drop, the stop loss will move down by $50 (tracking to protect profits)
Fundamental analysis: focus on ETH network upgrade (such as PECTRA), regulatory developments, and the Fed's policies