Self-ReflectingOnMyBtc

July 10 SK Hynix ADR listed on Nasdaq: Three trend scenarios and what to do if trapped in Micron/SanDisk
First, the conclusion: I believe that on July 10, the day of the SK Hynix ADR listing, the most likely trend is 'rise first → correction → rise again', with a probability of about 65%. The remaining 35% is split between 'direct surge' and 'direct drop'. Let me explain why.
Core logic: valuation gap + capital siphoning
SK Hynix currently has a forward P/E ratio of 6.2x, Micron 7x (once above 11x before June 22), SanDisk 10.1x. Price-to-sales ratio: SK Hynix 3.6x, Micron 4.6x. Among the three

From the perspective of the next bull market, ETH in the range of 1600-1222 is within the bottom-fishing zone. It is difficult to decline every 100 points below 1600, so every 100 points lower requires adding to the position. If you only want to bottom-fish below 1288, or some people exaggeratingly see three-digit prices, it would be too difficult and easily lead to a long trading vacuum. For me, an average cost below 1600 is enough. I just need a rebound to 3300 and 4200, then close coin-margined long positions. At that point, 100 ETH in spot becomes over 400 ETH. When the price is between 33

This round was satisfying, perfectly bottom-fished $ETH ‌

Jordan vs Algeria Pre-match Prediction
Jordan lost 1-3 to Austria in the first round. But Ali Ulwahn scored a goal—that's Jordan's first-ever World Cup goal in history. The country stepped onto the World Cup stage for the first time and scored. But reality isn't romantic: Jordan has conceded in 6 consecutive matches, with an average of over 2 goals conceded per game. Top scorer Nemaht tore his ACL and is out of the World Cup. Defensive core Nassib might miss the first match due to injury. Captain Haddad is playing through pain. Their football is very pure—Tamari plays for Rennes in Ligue 1,

By the end of next month, $ETH will drop to one thousand, which is 1000.
*But remember—this is a prediction. No one can guarantee whether ETH will really reach $1000K-$1200K.*
*Currently, the price of $ETH is approximately ~$1765. To reach $1000K, it still needs to fall about 37%.*
$ETH

Bitcoin over $60,000, can double in a bull market, or be cut in half in a bear market. It belongs to medium risk and medium return, and at least two years are needed to achieve 100% profit, lacking advantages.
Waiting for Bitcoin to drop below $45,000, a bull market could see two to three times gains, and the decline in a bear market is limited. It involves extremely low risk with higher returns, which is what outstanding investors pursue. $BTC

Retail Revolution (14) $BZ Now following PetroChina and Sinopec to buy oil!
We ordinary people now need to understand one thing: in chaotic times, gold, silver, and oil are all national strategic resources.
Currently, gold, silver, and crude oil are all suppressed to relatively low levels, with crude oil especially worth paying close attention to.
1. Currently, Brent crude oil is around $78, and this is essentially due to the market reaction to the news of the memorandum signed between the US and Iran.
The market is short-term trading on “war de-escalation, the reopening of the Strait o

Is it a small correction or a bearish continuation? Close your eyes and short below 64,800!
Brothers, this rebound in Bitcoin is a classic "dead cat bounce."
From the market data, this pullback just barely hit the Fibonacci 0.5 level (64,782) and couldn't go higher. The selling pressure around 67,000 is no joke. The 1-hour moving averages are in a bearish alignment, and this rally is just fueling the short positions.
My short position is already in the car:
· Entry average price: 63,937.4
· Current unrealized loss: -0.17 U (nearly negligible)
· Liquidation price: 66,746.2 (enough safety ma

Charles Schwab partners with Cboe to launch S&P 500 forecast contracts.
The product uses a binary options structure, allowing clients to bet "yes or no" on whether the S&P 500 index's closing price will be above or below a specified level.
The contracts will be listed on the Cboe exchange and settled based on the S&P 500 closing price at expiration.
Charles Schwab plans to roll out to clients in the coming months, pending regulatory and operational finalization.
Schwab CEO Rick Wurster previously criticized sports or entertainment event contracts for blurring the lines of investment.

Is this human language?
Trump says someone is manipulating his tokens
So it can't go up 🤣🤣
Old man, wake up a bit
Unlocking over a million coins every day
Aren't you the one selling off?
Blaming others for not going up?
Why don't you blame your coins for having too many?
My short position is still open
Currently at around 1.8
Very stable
Keep talking
Keep talking about manipulation
Maybe add a tariff too
Let the coin price drop another 10 points
With your unlocking speed
Even a god can't move it
Just short it and be done
#我的Gate交易时刻 $TRUMP

Bitcoin is at the end of a bull market trap!
From $59,000 → $65,000 → $62,000 →
$55,000 → $48,000 → $200,000 (bull peak)
Next steps:
→ Drop to $55,000 (ongoing)
→ $48,000 bottom (relative bottom)
→ $38,000 bottom (extreme fantasy)
Feel free to like, comment, follow ➕, and stay tuned $BTC
$BTC ‌#美伊谈判推迟

Everyone knows that Musk is the biggest whale of Dogecoin; in 2021, Dogecoin increased by 300 times!
SPCX Musk owns 42% of the shares; there are so many people worldwide who believe in him. Looking at his recent tweet, his goal is the stars and the sea, and he also wants one trillion ✖️ one trillion to create antimatter.
The stars and the sea require countless amounts of money to build, and Musk is so wealthy that he probably needs at least 3-20 times more! $SPCX #Gate现货交易量增幅全球第一

At 5:40 a.m., the blue light from the phone screen pierced my eyes.
I stared at the red "Liquidation Price: 65,205.3," fixated on the blinding "-119.32%," repeatedly scrolling to refresh, hoping it was just a data error.
But the clean "0.00" in the account wouldn't lie—48,762.56 USDT, all gone.
---
From opening the position to liquidation, less than thirty hours.
I remember clearly, at 00:37 on June 14th, I looked at the candlestick chart, firmly believing Bitcoin would break through 65,000. 50x leverage, full position—at that moment, I felt I wasn't a gambler, but someone who "underst

The total liquidation on the entire network reached 220 million USD! Currently, market liquidity is nearly exhausted; operate with extreme caution.
Just checked the total liquidation data, 24-hour total liquidation is 220 million USD, nearly 80k traders wiped out, with the largest single liquidation exceeding ten million USD. After reading this, I only have one feeling: the market liquidity is ridiculously poor right now.
Let's analyze the contrast in liquidation data:
In the short-term 1-hour and 4-hour periods, short positions liquidate far more than long positions, with a sharp decline caus

Bitcoin Price Duration Simulation:
1. Bitcoin stays at or below $60,000 for at least a year, lasting 40-50 weeks. (February 2026 to February 2027)
2. Passing through $50k, $40,000, and even extreme levels above $30,000, with at least half a year of oscillation and decline.
3. Prices at or below $50,000, staying for at least 20-30 weeks. (Most of the second half of 2026 at or below $50,000)
4. Prices at or below $40,000, with a relatively shorter duration, likely lasting 10-20 weeks. (Possibly in Q4)
5. An extreme possibility is falling below $40,000, dropping to above $30,000, with a brief sta

Nine officials are expected to raise interest rates, do you still dare to be fully invested? Don’t blame me for not warning you.
BTC falls below 63,000, ETH loses the 1,700 level, and the entire network experiences 400 million in liquidations.
All of this is solely because of a statement from the Federal Reserve.
In the early morning of June 18, the FOMC kept interest rates unchanged, but the dot plot shows: nine officials expect to raise rates by 2026.
Nine. More than half.
An interest rate hike of 25 basis points before the end of the year has already been priced in by the market.

The US-Iran talks suddenly encounter a change, BTC breaks through 62,500 again—erasing all "peace dividends" in 4 days
Today, the US-Iran negotiations face new uncertainties, with the scheduled talks in Switzerland suddenly canceled. Israel conducted airstrikes in southern Lebanon, resulting in 4 Israeli military personnel killed. BTC directly fell below 62,500, down 7.8% from the high of 67,250 four days ago.
Four days ago, everyone was still shouting "peace dividends," but four days later, gunfire rings out again. The market's biggest fear is not bad news, but "the illusion of good news

🔥 Top Battle in Group D: USA vs Australia, on the verge of eruption!
📊 Pre-match situation: Who wins advances
Both teams earned three points in their first matches, with the USA defeating Paraguay 4-1 and Australia pulling off a surprise 2-0 victory over Turkey. The winner of this match will have 6 points, essentially locking in the top spot in the group and a spot in the knockout stage.
The USA has the home advantage, with the team’s total value (about 370 million euros) far surpassing their opponent (about 73.7 million euros). The biggest variable is star player Pulisic, who was substitute