Gate Research: The CLARITY Act Still Has a Path Forward; Prediction Markets Accelerate Financialization

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2026-04-22 07:43:29
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Last Updated 2026-04-23 08:29:19
BTC continues to trade within an upward channel, successfully holding the key support level at $74,800. ETH’s short-term rebound trend is likely to continue. The AI sector has surged broadly, with OPG, BAS, and AITECH posting strong gains, driven by multiple catalysts including TGE/airdrop events, technological upgrades, and anticipated exchange listings. The CLARITY Act still has a path to pass in the Senate but must be approved before July; Kalshi and Polymarket have launched crypto perpetual contracts, signaling the evolution of prediction markets into comprehensive derivatives platforms; impacted by the rsETH event, Aave’s TVL has declined sharply, triggering deleveraging, with capital rotating into more resilient protocols such as Spark.

Crypto Market Overview

  • BTC (+2.51% | Current Price: $77,421.9): BTC is currently trading around $77,600, continuing to move within an upward channel. Short-term moving averages (MA5 crossing above MA10) indicate a clear bullish trend. With improving expectations for macro liquidity and a recovery in market sentiment, risk appetite has rebounded. BTC has successfully held the key support level at $74,800 and strongly broken above the previous high of $77,700. On the 1-hour chart, the RSI stands around 46, not yet in overbought territory, suggesting that upward momentum remains sufficient. Overall, the moving averages are aligned in a bullish formation, indicating further upside potential. Steady inflows from institutional capital are providing a solid price floor.

  • ETH (+2.63% | Current Price: $2,366.07): ETH is currently quoted at $2,372.22, demonstrating synchronized upward momentum with BTC over the past 24 hours. After touching a low of $2,284, the price rebounded quickly, reaching a high of $2,378. From a technical perspective, MA5 ($2,343) is above MA10 ($2,326), forming a bullish structure with rising support levels. On the 1-hour timeframe, the RSI is around 48.9, remaining within a healthy range. As on-chain activity shows marginal recovery, ETH’s short-term rebound trend is likely to continue, with the next resistance level to watch at the psychological threshold of $2,400.

  • Altcoins: Over the past 24 hours, the crypto market has demonstrated strong bullish momentum. As BTC decisively broke above $77,600 and ETH stabilized above the key resistance level of $2,360, the altcoin market has moved out of its previous low-volume consolidation phase, with approximately 68% of tokens posting gains. The current Fear & Greed Index stands at 59. While still classified as “Neutral,” its underlying momentum is shifting toward “Greed.” Notably, the AI and distributed computing sector has been the standout performer, with average gains ranging from 15% to 22%. This surge is not merely driven by speculative momentum, but rather by a convergence of positive catalysts, including large-scale TGE and airdrop events led by leading projects such as OpenGradient (OPG).

  • Macro: On April 21, the S&P 500 Index fell 0.63% to 7,064.01, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.59% to 49,149.38, and the Nasdaq Index dropped 0.59% to 24,259.96. As of 03:40 AM (UTC) on April 22, spot gold was temporarily quoted at $4,779.50 per ounce, down 0.76% over the past 24 hours.

OPG OpenGradient (+113.81% | Circulating Market Cap: $567M)

According to Gate market data, OPG is currently trading at $0.3776, surging 113.81% over the past 24 hours. As a decentralized and verifiable AI computation layer, OpenGradient’s core advantage lies in enabling secure on-chain hosting and inference of AI models.

The project has recently launched exclusive TGE and airdrop registration in collaboration with CEX wallets and DEX platforms. As an emerging force in the AI sector, its strong funding background and innovative distribution mechanisms have attracted significant market attention.

BAS BNB Attestation Service (+74.27% | Circulating Market Cap: $316M)

According to Gate market data, BAS is currently priced at $0.017713, up 74.27% in the past 24 hours. As an identity and data verification infrastructure introduced by BNB Chain, BAS serves as a foundational trust layer within the ecosystem.

The recent integration of AI agent upgrades on its mainnet represents a technological leap, allowing it to stand out among Web3 infrastructure projects. Against the backdrop of a broader market rally, BAS has gained a significant liquidity premium.

AITECH Solidus AI Tech (+53.84% | Circulating Market Cap: $186M)

According to Gate market data, AITECH is currently trading at $0.015190, up 53.84% over the past 24 hours. The project focuses on building high-performance computing (HPC) data centers and providing AI solutions for governments and enterprises.

The release of its Q2 roadmap and expectations of listings on major trading platforms have positioned it as a leading asset in the current AI-driven rebound, with clear signs of capital inflows.

Alpha Insights

The CLARITY Act Still Has a Path Forward; Senate Vote Required Before July

According to analysis by CoinDesk, the highly anticipated CLARITY Act still has a viable path to passage in the Senate, but the timeline is extremely tight. It must be approved in the Senate before the final legislative session in July. The bill aims to clearly define whether crypto assets should be classified as commodities or securities and is a key component in establishing a comprehensive regulatory framework for the crypto industry. Analysts emphasize that calendar constraints are currently the biggest obstacle, requiring bipartisan coordination and prioritization.

The CLARITY Act represents a critical piece of the regulatory framework following stablecoin legislation. If passed before July, it would fundamentally resolve jurisdictional disputes between the SEC and CFTC, paving the way for institutional participation under clear compliance guidelines. The current time pressure reflects a crowded congressional agenda, and the market should closely monitor whether the bill enters the formal legislative schedule. Once passed, it would have far-reaching implications for ETF approvals, institutional custody compliance, and DeFi regulatory frameworks.

Kalshi and Polymarket Announce Crypto Perpetual Contracts; Prediction Markets Accelerate Financialization

According to The Information, on April 22, prediction market platform Kalshi announced plans to launch cryptocurrency perpetual contract trading, while Polymarket announced on the same day that it will introduce perpetual contracts. The near-simultaneous move by both platforms signals a rapid convergence between prediction markets and traditional crypto derivatives markets.

The introduction of perpetual contracts represents a strategic effort by prediction market platforms to diversify revenue streams and enhance user engagement. This evolution transforms them from pure event prediction tools into comprehensive derivatives trading venues, potentially creating competitive pressure for existing decentralized perpetual platforms such as dYdX and GMX.

Aave TVL Drops $15.1 Billion in Three and a Half Days; Funds Partially Flow into Spark

On April 22, on-chain analysts reported sustained capital outflows from Aave following the rsETH incident. Aave’s total deposits declined from $48.5 billion to $30.7 billion, representing an outflow of approximately $15.1 billion over three and a half days—nearly one-third of its total value. Meanwhile, other major lending platforms showed divergence. Morpho’s total deposits fell from $11.7 billion to $10.2 billion, with outflows of around $1.5 billion. In contrast, Spark’s SparkLend TVL increased from $1.9 billion to $3.2 billion, achieving a counter-trend growth of approximately $1.3 billion, absorbing part of the capital withdrawn from Aave, including whale and institutional funds.

The rsETH incident fundamentally undermined confidence in LSD collateral assets, triggering a chain reaction of deleveraging. Lending positions on Aave that relied on such collateral were either liquidated or actively unwound, amplifying the rapid decline in TVL. The impact extends beyond Aave itself, increasing the overall risk premium for restaking and complex yield structures, thereby suppressing leverage demand and capital efficiency in the short term. At the same time, capital rotation toward protocols like Spark indicates that liquidity has not exited DeFi but is being repriced based on security and transparency considerations. This dynamic is driving a structural reshaping of the lending landscape among leading protocols.
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Author: Akane
Reviewer(s): Puffy, Kieran
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