Gate Institutional Weekly: Crude Oil TradFi Trading Surges, Stablecoin Credit Eases (Mar 9–Mar 15, 2026)

Weekly Summary
Research
TradFi
DeFi
Bitcoin
Ethereum
Trading
Gate Products
Options
Macro Trends
Market Forecast
2026-03-18 10:47:06
Reading Time: 1m
Last Updated 2026-04-09 09:17:57
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Over the past week, global markets have been primarily driven by energy shocks and geopolitical risks. WTI crude rose more than 4%, with higher oil prices reinforcing inflation expectations and further constraining the scope for rate cuts. The Dollar Index moved back above 100, while Treasury yields climbed in tandem. Risk assets broadly came under pressure, yet the crypto market showed notable resilience. Consecutive net inflows into BTC ETFs indicate continued institutional accumulation during the pullback. On-chain, stablecoin supply continued to expand, with liquidity increasingly concentrated in leading protocols. Lending and LST sectors also rebounded, reflecting a marginal recovery in risk appetite. In derivatives markets, funding rates remained largely negative while implied volatility declined, suggesting market sentiment is gradually recovering from extreme caution. Looking ahead, markets will focus on the upcoming Fed rate decision and policy signals from major central banks, which will directly sh

Key highlights from last week:

  • Market Focus: Energy shocks remain the dominant macro theme. Rising oil prices are reinforcing inflation stickiness and delaying rate-cut expectations. Global markets are showing structural divergence, while crypto assets exhibit relative resilience and signs of decoupling.

  • Liquidity: BTC ETFs continued to see net inflows, with no clear signs of institutional outflows. TradFi trading activity on Perp DEX increased, with commodities taking a larger share. Related trading volumes on CEXs also rose significantly.

  • On-chain Data: DEX trading volume declined slightly, but liquidity remained intact and continued to concentrate in leading protocols. Stablecoin supply expanded, with USDC as the primary driver. Lending and LST sectors rebounded in tandem.

  • Derivatives: BTC funding rates remained negative, indicating persistent short bias. Open interest increased, suggesting leverage returning to the market. Implied volatility declined, pointing to a gradual recovery in sentiment.

  • Outlook: Markets will focus on the upcoming Fed rate decision and policy signals from major central banks, which will directly shape the inflation path and near-term direction of risk assets.

  • Institutional Update: Gate’s institutional business continues to expand. CrossEx has upgraded its fee structure, trading integrations, and market data capabilities, further improving institutional trading efficiency.

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