Gate Research: DEX Volume Rebounds, SuperLink Ecosystem Accelerates | Gate Institutional Crypto Market Weekly (Feb 23–Mar 1, 2026)

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Gate Research: Over the past week, macro uncertainty has continued to dominate market pricing. Escalating tensions in the Middle East, tariff expectations, and the ongoing AI narrative have reinforced risk-off sentiment, with capital rotating into defensive assets such as oil, gold, and the Japanese yen, putting pressure on risk assets. BTC declined sharply over the weekend amid thin liquidity conditions, while ETH underperformed BTC overall, leaving the market in a fragile post-deleveraging equilibrium. On-chain data shows event-driven spikes in DEX trading volume, while stablecoin supply has remained elevated but flat, suggesting capital is largely in a wait-and-see mode. In derivatives markets, open interest continues to decline and funding rates remain negative but stable, indicating that overall leverage in the system has been significantly reduced. Meanwhile, mid-tier protocols such as Hyperliquid and Jupiter recorded revenue growth, pointing to a modest rebound in on-chain trading activity. Overall, th

Key Takeaways

  • Market Focus: BTC experienced a sharp decline over the weekend amid thin liquidity before entering a low-level consolidation phase. ETH underperformed BTC overall, leaving the market in a fragile post-deleveraging equilibrium. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks pushed oil and precious metals prices significantly higher, prompting a temporary rotation of capital into defensive assets.

  • Liquidity Analysis: Rising precious metals prices have driven stronger trading demand. XAUT order book depth shows that buy-side liquidity repeatedly stepped in during the gold rally, while concentrated sell orders emerged near local highs, increasing short-term selling pressure. At the same time, major CEXs expanded the number of metals products within their TradFi asset segments, reflecting growing demand for safe-haven trading instruments.

  • On-chain Data Insights: DEX trading volumes saw event-driven spikes, although overall scale remains below historical cycle peaks. Stablecoin supply has remained elevated but flat, suggesting capital is largely waiting on the sidelines for clearer signals. Liquid Staking TVL declined modestly, while Aave’s total cross-chain lending volume continued to fall, indicating a gradual and proactive deleveraging process across the market.

  • Derivatives Tracking: BTC open interest continued to decline and has fallen significantly from its 2025 peak, indicating a substantial reduction in overall market leverage. Funding rates remain negative but stable, while options trading volumes and implied volatility both increased, suggesting traders are still paying a premium for future volatility.

  • Outlook for Next Week: Markets will closely watch upcoming macro releases including the ISM Manufacturing and Services PMIs, ADP employment data, and Nonfarm Payrolls, which will shape expectations for interest rates and liquidity conditions. Meanwhile, token unlocks for ENA, HYPE, and RED, along with events such as the Espresso upgrade and Chiliz buyback and burn, may introduce localized market volatility.

This report provides a deeper analysis of these trends, combining macro developments with on-chain data insights. Click to read the full report to stay ahead of market shifts, gain forward-looking perspectives, and uncover potential opportunities for the next phase of the market.

(Click below to access the full report)



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Crypto Calendar
Tokens Unlock
Wormhole will unlock 1,280,000,000 W tokens on April 3rd, constituting approximately 28.39% of the currently circulating supply.
W
-7.32%
2026-04-02
Tokens Unlock
Pyth Network will unlock 2,130,000,000 PYTH tokens on May 19th, constituting approximately 36.96% of the currently circulating supply.
PYTH
2.25%
2026-05-18
Tokens Unlock
Pump.fun will unlock 82,500,000,000 PUMP tokens on July 12th, constituting approximately 23.31% of the currently circulating supply.
PUMP
-3.37%
2026-07-11
Tokens Unlock
Succinct will unlock 208,330,000 PROVE tokens on August 5th, constituting approximately 104.17% of the currently circulating supply.
PROVE
2026-08-04
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