Macroeconomist Analysis: The United States is heading towards a large-scale recession, while the Fed is turning a blind eye.

According to a message from ChainCatcher, Finbold reported that macroeconomist Henrik Zeberg posted on the X platform that the Fed has over 400 PhD economists yet still missed the obvious and insightful economic patterns. He stated that we are heading towards a major economic recession, and despite the Fed having ample resources, it is turning a blind eye to it. Zeberg emphasized that understanding the correct sequence of events in the business cycle is crucial for predicting economic downturns. The Fed's current expectations underestimate the severity and timing of the impending recession. It is reported that he believes that the unemployment rate has always appeared before every major economic recession, and it remains an “indicator that never goes wrong.” In November, the unemployment rate in the United States reached 4.6%, the highest level in four years, approaching the recession threshold set by the Sam Rule, and raising the likelihood of an economic recession to about 40%.