[KOL Index] Prediction market controversy spreads... "Super cycle" expectations reignite externally

The KOL index is a series based on community analysis techniques from TokenPost and DataMaxiPlus, which analyze highly responded and关注度高的内容 in Telegram investors. It diagnoses market investment psychology and trends based on the most关注的事件 in the KOL community the previous day. [Editor’s note]

The most关注的事件 in the Telegram KOL community the previous day was the controversy over prediction markets surrounding the White House briefing. After funds gathered on whether the briefing would exceed a certain time, the outcome dramatically reversed, and fairness disputes spread. Some community members also raised concerns that combining political events with prediction markets could damage market trust.

Prediction Market “Timing Dispute”… Fairness Issues Highlighted In the prediction market formed around whether the White House briefing would exceed 65 minutes, after concentrated bets on the possibility of “overtime,” the result reversed, and the controversy expanded. Due to the timing of the briefing’s end being very subtle, conspiracy theories questioning internal involvement even emerged. The KOL community continued to comment on how prediction markets are susceptible to information asymmetry and mentioned the need for institutional补充.

“Super Cycle” Expectations Resurface… Long-term Bullish Sentiment Spreads On the other hand, information citing industry figures including CZ and mentioning the possibility of a “super cycle” also ranked highly. A super cycle refers to a structural long-term upward trend that surpasses the previous cycle, primarily based on liquidity and narrative expansion. Compared to short-term price predictions, content focusing on market structure changes received higher resonance.

Altcoins, Presales, and Airdrop Information Draw Attention Analysis of signals indicating altcoin seasons, as well as information related to Binance presales, public auctions, and airdrop schedules, were actively shared. Some KOLs mentioned pre-sale valuations and fully diluted valuation adjustments, warning of overheating. Investors are not only interested in short-term gains but also in practical information such as participation strategies and risk management.

The top content in the KOL community for the day mainly consisted of analysis on prediction market disputes and long-term cryptocurrency cycle interpretations. While the perspective connecting political and macro events with market structure is spreading, strategic discussions on altcoins and new listings are emphasized. This content is compiled based on Telegram information collected through DataMaxiPlus community analysis technology.