Expert Says Bitcoin Could Reach $50M as Sovereign Collateral by 2041

BTC-1.74%
  • Eric Jackson says Bitcoin could reach $50M by 2041 under his “Vision 2041” thesis.

  • He sees Bitcoin as neutral global collateral, not a replacement for the U.S. dollar.

  • Jackson compares Bitcoin’s path to gold’s reserve role and contrarian bets like Carvana.

Bitcoin could reach $50 million per coin by 2041, according to EMJ Capital CEO Eric Jackson. He shared the projection during an interview with financial journalist Phil Rosen. Jackson said the thesis centers on Bitcoin becoming neutral global collateral, rather than replacing the U.S. dollar or existing payment systems.

Bitcoin Framed as Neutral Global Collateral

During the interview, Jackson said Bitcoin’s long-term role may extend beyond the digital gold narrative. Notably, he argued Bitcoin could sit beneath global financial systems as base collateral. He described this structure as supportive rather than disruptive to existing sovereign frameworks.

Jackson said governments and central banks already rely on reserve assets. He pointed to gold’s historical role in anchoring balance sheets and liquidity. According to him, Bitcoin shares gold’s scarcity and political independence, which could support similar use cases.

However, he noted Bitcoin remains limited as a daily payment tool. He referenced the 2011 Bitcoin pizza purchase as a rare transactional example. Therefore, he positioned Bitcoin as infrastructure rather than consumer money.

Vision 2041 and the $50 Million Price Path

Jackson linked his forecast to what he calls “Vision 2041,” focused on sovereign debt markets. He said global finance has shifted through multiple collateral systems over decades. Notably, he cited the move from gold-backed systems to offshore dollar markets in the 1960s.

He explained that the Eurodollar system reshaped global liquidity and borrowing structures. According to Jackson, sovereign debt now acts as primary collateral for government funding. However, he said this framework carries weaknesses tied to political control and debt expansion.

Jackson argued Bitcoin could eventually replace the Eurodollar as neutral collateral. He described Bitcoin as digital, programmable, and outside central bank authority. However, he stressed this shift would not eliminate the dollar or U.S. Treasuries.

Contrarian Investing Shapes Bitcoin Outlook

To explain his thinking, Jackson referenced past contrarian investments. Notably, he cited Carvana’s collapse from around $400 to near $3.50 in 2022. He said he invested during the decline because the business still functioned.

Jackson explained that customers continued using the platform despite market panic. He said profitability improvements and debt restructuring supported his thesis. Similarly, he said Bitcoin faces extreme skepticism alongside long-term structural arguments.

He also addressed critics who label Bitcoin a Ponzi scheme. Jackson said such views often emerge when asset narratives become polarized.

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