ChainCatcher reports that, according to Jintou, CME “Federal Reserve Watch” shows a 93.6% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until March, and a 6.4% chance of a 25 basis point cut. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut rises to 22.6%, with a 76.2% chance of no change, and a 1.2% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut increases to 43.9%.
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