The USD-Korean Won exchange rate hits its highest level since the global financial crisis, highlighting renewed instability in international financial and oil markets. One reason cited is the speculation that Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt energy supply and demand. This has increased investors’ demand for the dollar as a safe asset, leading to a decline in the value of the Korean Won.
In the early hours of the 4th, the USD-KRW exchange rate surged by 46.00 Won compared to the previous day, closing at 1,485.70 Won. This situation is similar to the conditions just after the end of the late 2008 financial crisis, and analysts believe recent exchange rate increases are approaching those levels. Especially as global energy supply and demand become more unstable, the value of the dollar has come under upward pressure.
The disruption of production at Iraq’s Rumaila oil field serves as a warning signal of reduced oil output, naturally pushing up international oil prices. This rise in oil prices could burden South Korea’s energy-dependent economy. The price of West Texas Intermediate crude rose by over 9% compared to the previous day, further highlighting uncertainty in the international oil market.
The dollar continues to play the role of a global safe-haven currency. Experts say that as the issuer of the dollar, the United States can be seen as a refuge for investor funds during times of global unrest. In fact, the dollar index shows an upward trend against major currencies, with the dollar strengthening against the yen and euro.
However, as the New York stock market shows some stability, risk aversion has eased. As a result, the USD-KRW exchange rate sharply declined, ultimately closing at 1,485 Won. If global energy market conditions change and investor preferences for safe assets continue, the USD-KRW exchange rate may remain volatile.