According to Polymarket, the prediction market contract tracking the probability of the CLARITY Act passing by end of 2026 reached 73% on May 11, the highest level in two months. This matches the previous peak recorded on March 10, marking a roughly 30 percentage point rebound from mid-April when odds had fallen to the mid-40s.
The surge follows the U.S. Senate Banking Committee’s announcement to review and vote on the CLARITY Act on May 14, signaling an end to months of legislative delays.
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