Polymarket Launches 'Nothing Happens in June' Prediction Market, Nothing Priced at 86%

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According to Odaily Seer, Polymarket launched a prediction market on June 2 for whether something significant will occur during June 2026. Traders are pricing the likelihood of nothing happening (Nothing) at 86%, with something happening (Something) at 14%.

The market will settle as "Something" if any of the following occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 p.m. ET: WTI crude oil breaks $150; the U.S. confirms alien existence; the Federal Reserve announces any policy adjustment; Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire; or Iran agrees to surrender its uranium enrichment stockpile. Otherwise, it settles as "Nothing."

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