Prediction Markets Put Just 5% Odds on Solana Reaching $500 in 2026

SOL-6.51%
KALSHI-8.49%
According to Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction market, traders assign only 5% probability to Solana (SOL) reaching $500 in 2026 as of June 5. SOL currently trades near $65, approximately 78% below its all-time high of $293.31. Polymarket similarly prices the odds of Solana hitting a new all-time high by December 31, 2026 at just 9%, based on $507,500 in total volume traded on the contract. The extreme skepticism reflects the technical headwinds facing SOL, with Changelly data showing 87% bearish indicators and a Fear and Greed Index score of 12, classified as "Extreme Fear."
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