Japanese Finance Minister Katsuya Okada and U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen expressed共同 concerns over the weakening of the yen. The USD/JPY hit 158.50, reaching a one-year high and approaching the 160 intervention line. Japan has previously intervened four times in 2024 at this level. Okada emphasized that "unilateral" fluctuations could trigger action. This warning comes after the U.S. Department of Justice's investigation into the Federal Reserve, with markets worried that policy could be further politicized, increasing uncertainty.

Bitcoin rebounds above $91,000. Geopolitical risk aversion drives gold up $20 to $4,477, benefiting from the safe-haven spillover effect of Bitcoin; the U.S. Supreme Court is expected to rule on whether Trump's tariffs are legal as early as Friday. If found illegal, it will severely impact his economic policies and trigger billion-dollar tax refund disputes; the non-farm payroll report will be released on Friday, with an estimated increase of 60,000 jobs. The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice this year, and the low-interest-rate environment is favorable for Bitcoin.

As the myth of wealth creation through cryptocurrencies spreads, a bloody plunder targeting ordinary investors has quietly begun. From online SIM card hijacking to offline home invasions and torture for extortion, criminals are turning the asset control of decentralized finance into a deadly weak point for precise hunting. This article is based on a piece by Austin Carr, compiled, translated, and written by ForesightNews. (Background: Black Swan author dismisses Bitcoin: A perfect "fool's game" during low interest rates, unable to hedge inflation) (Additional context: Can M2 and the US dollar index truly predict Bitcoin? The reality is more complicated than you think) Table of Contents Misfortunes never come alone The evil path of the "Internet Kid" Target: Ordinary investors Who are the beneficiaries? Victims unprotected

A sudden military action has once again thrust Venezuela, which has been in a state of economic collapse for a long time, into the global spotlight. On January 2 local time, the United States announced that during an operation, Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife were arrested. This explosive geopolitical event quickly triggered sensitive nerves in the global cryptocurrency market, causing Bitcoin to drop approximately 0.5% rapidly after the news broke, reaching a low of $89,300. However, market panic did not last long, and Bitcoin quickly rebounded within a few hours, recovering most of its losses. This “initial drop followed by stabilization” trend precisely reflects the dual role that cryptocurrencies play in Venezuela: for local residents, it is a “lifeline” to cope with hyperinflation and financial sanctions; for the global market, it is both an amplifier of geopolitical risks and increasingly showing resilience. This article will delve into Venezuela’s “cryptocurrency survival economy” and its complex interaction with global market fluctuations.

In 2026, the crypto world will usher in new trends, with a focus on prediction markets, compliant stablecoins, and AI technology. Experts believe that institutional funds will flow into these areas, while execution capability and value creation will become key evaluation criteria. Black swan events should still be approached with caution.

MicroStrategy holds 671,268 Bitcoins with a market value of $45 billion but has $60 billion in BTC assets, resulting in a $15 billion valuation discount. Carrying $8.2 billion in debt and $7.5 billion in preferred stock, with annual fixed expenses of $779 million. If Bitcoin falls below $13,000, the company will go bankrupt, and the selling pressure from 6.7 million BTC could trigger a black swan event more severe than FTX.

Author: Nancy, PANews Quantum attacks have long been part of Bitcoin's narrative. In the past, this threat was mostly considered a black swan at the theoretical level. However, as quantum computing technology advances rapidly, this debate seems to be shifting. Recently, Nic Carter, co-founder of Castle Island Ventures, pointed out that quantum computing is only "an engineering challenge" away from cracking Bitcoin. This argument has sparked disagreement within the community, with some accusing it of deliberately inciting panic, while others see it as a survival crisis that must be addressed. Meanwhile, many projects are already preparing by actively exploring and deploying defenses against quantum attacks. Quantum attack alert escalation? Protocol modifications may take a decade The threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin is not a new issue. Recently, the rapid progress in quantum computing technology has brought this problem back into focus. For example, Google

Strategy ( previously was MicroStrategy), now the organization holding the largest amount of Bitcoin in the world, owning 671.268 BTC, accounting for over 3.2% of the total circulating Bitcoin supply. This makes the company a high-risk “link” in the global Bitcoin ecosystem. If Strategy collapses, the impact of this event will be

Author: Nancy, PANews Quantum attacks have long been part of the narrative surrounding Bitcoin. In the past, this threat was largely viewed as a theoretical black swan. However, with the rapid advancement of quantum computing technology, this controversy seems to be shifting. Recently, Nic Carter, co-founder of Castle Island Ventures, pointed out that quantum computing is just an "engineering challenge" away from breaking Bitcoin. This argument has sparked division within the community, with some denouncing it as a deliberate attempt to incite panic, while others believe it is a survival crisis that must be addressed. Meanwhile, several projects have already begun to prepare proactively, actively exploring and deploying defenses against quantum attacks. Quantum attack alert upgrade? Protocol modifications could take a decade. The threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin is not a new topic. Recently, the rapid advancement of quantum computing technology has brought this issue to the forefront once again. For example,

Japanese Finance Minister Katsuyuki Kitagawa issued a strong warning to currency market speculators on Monday, stating that Japan has ample room to take bold actions against speculative exchange rate fluctuations. Kitagawa clearly indicated that these trends are evidently the result of speculative behavior and has made it clear that bold actions will be taken. This statement suggests that Japan could launch interventions in the currency market amounting to tens of billions of dollars at any time. The yen strengthened upon hearing this news, breaking the 1 dollar to 157 yen barrier, and the black swan risk in the currency market has surged.

Author: Nancy, PANews Quantum attacks have long existed in the narrative of Bitcoin. In the past, this threat was seen more as a theoretical black swan. However, with the rapid evolution of quantum computing technology, this controversy seems to be shifting. Recently, Nic Carter, co-founder of Castle Island Ventures, pointed out that quantum computing is only a "engineering challenge" away from breaking Bitcoin. This argument has sparked division within the community, with some denouncing it as a deliberate attempt to create panic, while others believe it is a survival crisis that must be faced. At the same time, many projects have already begun to prepare in advance, actively exploring and deploying solutions to defend against quantum attacks. Quantum attack alert upgrade? Protocol modification may take a decade. The threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin is not a new topic. Recently, the rapid advancement of quantum computing technology has brought this issue back to the forefront. For example,

Author: Nancy, PANews Quantum attacks have long existed in the narrative of Bitcoin. In the past, this threat was more regarded as a theoretical black swan. However, with the rapid evolution of quantum computing technology, this controversy seems to be shifting. Recently, Nic Carter, co-founder of Castle Island Ventures, wrote that quantum computing is only one "engineering challenge" away from breaking Bitcoin. This conclusion has sparked divisions in the community, with some accusing him of deliberately causing panic, while others believe it is a survival crisis that needs to be addressed urgently. Meanwhile, many crypto projects are already taking precautions and actively exploring and deploying defenses against quantum attacks. Quantum attack alert upgrade? Protocol modification may take ten years. The threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin is not a new topic. Recently, the rapid advancements in quantum computing technology have brought this issue to the forefront again. For example,

Virginia’s DEQ launched SWaN to enable real-time trading of stream, wetland, and nutrient credits statewide. The platform improves transparency with live pricing, availability and direct transactions across 600+ mitigation sites. SWaN runs on Hedera, showing how states use distributed

The global cryptocurrency market is on edge awaiting the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision announced on December 19. The market expects a 25 basis point hike to 0.75%, with a probability as high as 98%. Macro analysts have issued warnings that historical data shows that after each Bank of Japan rate hike since 2024, Bitcoin has experienced a deep correction of over 20%. If this "curse" repeats, Bitcoin's price could face the risk of dropping toward the key support level of $70,000. This article will analyze in depth the transmission mechanism of the “Yen carry trade unwinding” and, combined with current technical indicators and bullish-bearish divergences, provide an interpretation of this potential black swan event.

A crypto founder and XRP community figure says he has stopped looking at the XRP chart, instead paying closer attention to where he believes the “real signal” is. Versan Aljarrah, founder of the Black Swan Capitalist, revealed this in one of his recent commentaries at a time when the XRP price has

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the author of the Black Swan theory, published a new paper pointing out that many people’s sense of security regarding “stop-loss” is actually a misconception. He emphasizes that stop-loss is not a talisman that reduces risk, but rather concentrates the originally dispersed probability of loss at a single price point, creating an insidious yet more dangerous “hidden spike risk.” (Previous context: Has the Bitcoin top-escape indicator failed? How should investors recalibrate?) (Background supplement: How to survive the Bitcoin winter? Investment strategies, tips, and bottom detection) On December 4, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the author of the Black Swan theory, shared his latest paper “Trading With a” on the X platform.

The latest version of ChatGPT has released data-driven price predictions for XRP, Bitcoin, and Solana through the end of 2025, warning that the market may experience significant volatility in the coming month. The AI outlines sharply contrasting dual-track scenarios for these three major assets: in an optimistic case, XRP could soar to $15, Bitcoin might aim for $230,000, and Solana’s bullish target could reach as high as $1,200. These forecasts are based on current market data, technical indicators, and the macroeconomic context. However, analysts caution that AI models cannot fully capture black swan events related to market sentiment, so investors should view these as scenarios for bullish and bearish speculation rather than definitive guides.

On the first day of December, the crypto market suffered another heavy blow, with XRP leading the decline, plummeting 5.78% in a single day to $2.03. The trigger for this drop did not come from within the industry, but rather from the "hawkish" interest rate hike signals released by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda. Japanese government bond yields soared to their highest level since 2008, triggering massive "yen arbitrage trading" closures, leading to indiscriminate dumping of global high-risk assets. Despite the approval of the Spot XRP ETF and Vanguard preparing to open trading access, analysts warn that XRP may further dip towards the support around $1.82 under the short-term pressure of tightening macro liquidity. The market is undergoing a brutal stress test dominated by traditional finance variables.

The Japanese government bond market experienced a Black Swan Event today, with the country's 3-month government bond yield pumping over 34%, corresponding to a big dump in its bond prices. The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds rose by 5 basis points to 1.85%, while the yield on Japan's 2-year government bonds reached its highest level since 2008, with government bonds across all maturities experiencing a big pump. Meanwhile, U.S. stock index futures fell across the board in early trading, and the Nikkei index plummeted nearly 2% at one point.

Why are Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP falling? The three major mainstream tokens had a poor start on December 1, with declines exceeding 4% as of the time of this report on Monday. Due to warnings from the Bank of Japan about a possible interest rate hike, the price of Bitcoin faces the risk of returning to the 80,000 USD level. Ethereum is under pressure at the 2800 USD support level, while XRP remains firmly at the psychological barrier of 2.00 USD.

Dr. Jim Willie, a financial analyst with a PhD in statistics, said that big banks and private equity firms are deliberately keeping XRP price low. He shared this view in a podcast with Black Swan Capitalist founder Versan Aljarrah. Willie suggested that XRP’s price action is not due to regular

Original Title: "The Mystery of the Fall of Polymarket, the 'God of Sports Predictions', After Assets Drop to Zero with a Profit of 4 Million Dollars" Original: Odaily Planet Daily Author: Wenser Polymarket's prediction games have always been a feast for the few and a gamble for the many. Similar to contract markets, it is also filled with "black swan reversals," especially in the case of unexpected outcomes in sports. Today, we are going to talk about the fall of a trader once known as the "God of Sports Prediction"—Mayuravarma. This trader, with an Indian caste-style ID, violently ramped up his initial capital of $5,000 to $3.8 million in just a month, achieving a profit of up to 760 times and briefly ranking sixth on the sports profit list. However, what rises must fall; in just one week, his assets were nearly drop to zero. Mayuravar

ProCap Chief Investment Officer Jeff Park stated that a black swan event for Bitcoin’s upside would be adoption by a sovereign nation. Park pointed out that if a major developed market, an OECD country, suddenly announced it would purchase Bitcoin on its balance sheet—and actually did so—such an announcement could push Bitcoin to around $150,000 overnight.

While many crypto market participants are debating what it might take to trigger a significant Bitcoin daily candle, ProCap chief investment officer Jeff Park has narrowed it down to one key catalyst. “A black swan event for Bitcoin upside would be sovereign adoption,” Park said during a podcast in

Recently, global stock markets have suffered a heavy blow, with US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and A-shares all experiencing significant declines. Bitcoin has fallen below $86,000, and gold has also dropped significantly. The Fed unexpectedly shifted to a hawkish stance, undermining market expectations for interest rate cuts and intensifying panic sentiment. This big dump is attributed to the fragility of market liquidity and the impact of quantitative trading strategies. Although there are some bubbles, the market has not truly entered a Bear Market. All assets need to adjust their expectations regarding rise and Interest Rate.

In November 2025, the Bitcoin price pulled back to around $90,000, unexpectedly sparking a surge in account openings for Crypto Assets retirement accounts. BlockTrust IRA CEO Jonathan Rose revealed that the platform experienced one of its busiest trading weeks ever, with investors actively transferring Crypto Assets into tax-advantaged accounts. Industry data supports this trend—Alto platform's 29,000 self-directed IRA users executed 240,000 Crypto transactions in 2023, and Swan Bitcoin similarly reported a surge in buying activity in retirement accounts amid the fall.

On November 18, Black Tuesday, the three major U.S. stock indices experienced a big dump, with the Dow Jones plunging 1.07%, the Nasdaq dropping 1.21%, and the S&P 500 falling 0.83%. Panic over the tech stock bubble is spreading, with Amazon plummeting 4.43%, Nvidia falling 2.81%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropping 2.31%. A Bank of America survey shows that the "AI bubble" is the biggest tail risk. The Black Swan Event erupted, and Cloudflare experienced a global outage for several hours.

XRP traded steadily between $2.20 and $2.27 this week, experiencing a modest 1% decline. Market focus remained on the “White Swan” narrative, as low volatility and tight trading range characterized the token's behavior and interactions with Bitcoin.

Altcoin season return is the question on every crypto investor's mind after October 11's Black Swan flush wiped out leverage and reshaped market psychology.

How to cultivate a "divine level" trader who can make huge profits in Spot, MEME, Airdrop, and NFT, and even turn around from massive losses? At the age of 15, he bought 500 bitcoins with his lucky money, starting from scratch in his youth; he is a giant whale in the crypto circle, managing a fund worth hundreds of millions of dollars, and in 2025, he earned 4.4 million tokens through the aster Airdrop; he is a master in Texas Hold'em, nearly winning the runner-up at the World Poker Championship, integrating GTO game theory into trading; he has also experienced multiple liquidations and black swan events, yet is a seasoned trader who can quickly recover — he is Wesley, a top player excelling in the crypto market, Texas Hold'em table, and gaming world. In this episode of OKX "Dialogue with Traders", @mia\_okx has an in-depth conversation with Wesley, unpacking his growth journey to becoming the helm of a billion-level fund. Here is the精彩内容 of the full conversation, with video / text content organized for everyone.

Written by: Cryptographic Compiled by: Block Unicorn Introduction Nature is cold and ruthless. It has no emotions, no feelings, no attachments. It only conducts an endless test: whether this design is worth surviving. Financial markets are the same. Over time, they eliminate weak designs, fragile structures, and strategies that fail to adequately consider risks, integrating effective strategies. This is the essence of natural selection—a brutal, relentless test that ensures only the fittest survive. DeFi is no exception. After years of experimentation and thousands of protocols, one pattern has become clear: each extinction event is less of a "black swan" and more of natural selection eliminating the weak, ensuring that only the strong survive. Aave is a typical example. Despite experiencing multiple industry extinctions

Author: Lucida Source: Medium October Market Dramatic Reversal: The Federal Reserve's Rate Cut Not Only Failed to Boost the Market but Triggered a $400 Billion Flash Crash in Crypto. The core contradiction isn't macro policy but a fatal internal weakness within the market—when Trump's tariff black swan strikes, high leverage instantly pierces through thin liquidity. However, the real story lies beneath the rubble: new narratives like AI + crypto, RWA (Real-World Assets), and prediction markets are quietly emerging, laying the groundwork for the next bull run. This article will cut through the fog of price volatility to reveal the truth behind this liquidity crisis and explore future opportunities. **1. The Big Picture of the Federal Reserve's Rate Cut: Liquidity Boom and Structural Changes** On October 30, the Federal Reserve implemented its second rate cut of the year, lowering the federal funds rate target to 3.75%-4.00%. This decision was driven by the US economy facing...

The global financial capital now has a dedicated, Bitcoin-only wealth platform. Swan Bitcoin, America's premier Bitcoin wealth platform, is officially live in New York, marking a significant milestone for investors in the state. This launch makes Swan Bitcoin the first and only Bitcoin-only firm to offer New Yorkers a complete, regulated suite of services for buying, securing, and building long-term wealth with Bitcoin. For those seeking a trusted partner in the Bitcoin ecosystem, underst

Swan Bitcoin is a user-friendly platform designed to make Bitcoin acquisition and ownership straightforward, empowering individuals and businesses to build wealth through secure, automated, and educational crypto investing.

In the past 24 hours, the Crypto Assets market has been hit by a black swan event, with Bitcoin plummeting from the $110,000 position to below $104,500, a fall of nearly 4%. Coinglass data shows that in the last 24 hours, the total liquidations across the Crypto Assets market exceeded $1.2 billion, with over 340,000 people getting liquidated, more than 90% of which were long orders.

XRP long-term valuation continues to spark debate across the crypto community. According to Versan Aljarrah, co-founder of Black Swan Capitalist, understanding how XRP could reach extremely high price levels, up to potentially $10,000 per coin, requires a shift away from conventional

Versan Aljarrah, co-founder of Black Swan Capital, shared a video of Larry Fink, the CEO of BlackRock, discussing the rapid development of digital finance. Fink's remarks confirm the long-held belief of XRP supporters that the global market is about to change, with every Central Bank currency being digitized, every ETF and asset being tokenized, and the need for a cross-border settlement layer, with XRP being the foundation of the new financial system.

Halving, privacy narratives, and endorsements from well-known institutions and investors have jointly propelled ZEC to break through the 2021 high. This article is based on a piece by Akash Girimath, organized, translated, and written by ForesightNews. (Background: In the black swan big dump, $ZEC rose against the trend by 37%! Why is the privacy track shining? What opportunities are there?) (Background Supplement: Privacy coins are experiencing a general rise! Silicon Valley investor Naval Ravikant's remark made Zcash surge 200% in ten days) \\ Summary \\ With the November Halving approaching and renewed market interest in privacy assets, Zcash (ZEC) has once again become the focus, with traders actively positioning around the privacy coin narrative. \ Sources say that

Author: San, TechFlow Reprint: White55, Mars Finance Among all financial roles, intermediaries are generally considered to be the most stable and least risky. In most cases, they do not need to predict direction, but can earn substantial profits simply by providing liquidity to the market, seemingly making them the safest "rental" position in the market. However, when a black swan event strikes, these intermediaries are also hard-pressed to escape being crushed by those in higher positions. Ironically, the most professional, well-funded, and tightly controlled institutions often suffer greater losses in extreme events than retail investors. This is not because they lack professionalism, but because their business models are destined to pay the price for systemic risks. As someone who trades in the crypto space and also pays attention to the CS2 skin market, as a firsthand witness to two recent black swan events, I would like to talk about the phenomena I have observed in these two virtual asset trading markets and this phenomenon.

The article discusses the heavy losses suffered by intermediaries in the crypto market and the CS2 skin market during Black Swan Events, revealing the systemic risks inherent in the profit models of intermediaries and their double traps. The similarities between the two events remind investors that seemingly robust strategies may hide significant risks, prompting retail investors to reassess their risk exposure and reliance on exit mechanisms, emphasizing the need to drop leverage and maintain liquidity to respond to unforeseen events.

Coach JV warns that the financial system may engineer "black swan" events to consolidate control, using fear and market crashes. He highlights the recent October 10 crypto crash, emphasizes staying calm amid volatility, and notes inflation as a hidden crisis affecting wealth.

Recently, the Black Swan Event of Binance has highlighted the potential risks of financial products offered by Centralized Exchanges (CEX). (Background: MEXC launched a 30 million USD MEXC Foundation to cultivate the next generation of leaders leading the future of Web3.) (Additional context: MEXC is hosting an Eco Month event in collaboration with Solana, with a continuous million-dollar prize pool.) *This article is a sponsored piece provided by MEXC and does not represent the position of the blockchain district, nor does it constitute investment advice, purchase, or sale recommendations. Please see the end of the article for liability warnings. The crypto market witnessed another Black Swan Event on October 11. Binance (Binance) platform's USDE, BNSOL and

According to Mars Finance, the world's first Chinese decentralized futures trading platform, Sun Wukong, will hold a themed live broadcast event titled "Sun Wukong 72 Debate: Get Liquidated Confession! How to Rebuild After the 1011 Black Swan Event" today at 20:00 (UTC+8). KOLs from the encryption world such as 0xMoon, Just Call 19, Lu Sheng, Eleve, Sister Mao Mao, and Mike Banana will be invited to discuss in-depth the impact of the 1011 Black Swan Event on market confidence and the lessons learned by traders, as well as hot topics such as how to scientifically conduct risk control and capital allocation.

Black Swan Capitalist co-founder Versan Aljarrah has once again reaffirmed his conviction about the future of XRP. This time, he suggests that XRP’s strategic utility will eventually make it too valuable to remain in open circulation His view suggests that XRP’s real purpose goes far beyond

PANAMA CITY, Oct. 20, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — Rocked by the sudden “black swan event” on October 11, the crypto market experienced intense volatility and sharp declines across major cryptocurrencies. Market confidence plunged, and many traders incurred significant losses. Confronted with this

Versan Aljarrah, co-founder of Black Swan Capitalist, urges XRP holders to focus on long-term value rather than short-term profits, emphasizing XRP's role in the upcoming global financial system. He warns against selling amid speculation, asserting that institutional adoption will solidify XRP's importance.

After the Black Swan Event in the crypto market on October 11, market confidence was shaken. Huobi HTX announced the launch of the "100 million USDT Together Plan" to airdrop to traders who suffered losses in order to restore confidence. The event is open to all users, offering support of up to 5,000 USDT, and exclusive benefits are set to encourage user participation. At the same time, Huobi HTX is committed to standing with users through difficulties and promoting sustainable development in the industry.

According to Mars Finance news, on the evening of October 15th, Huobi HTX and Sun Wukong (SunPerp) advisor Sun Yuchen announced on X that the two trading platforms will respectively launch a co-creation fund worth up to 100 million USD, aimed at supporting encryption users who have suffered losses in the recent Black Swan Event. According to reports, the eligibility for the co-creation fund is not restricted by the platform or blockchain network, and all users on the network have the opportunity to receive subsidies based on their losses, ranging from 5 USDT to 10000 USDT. The detailed methods and rules for claiming will be announced soon on the official information channels of Huobi HTX and Sun Wukong.

According to Mars Finance, trader Eugene initiated a vote on his TG regarding the loss of funds for investors due to the Black Swan Event on October 11. The results showed that 20% of participants lost over 50% of their principal, nearly 40% lost more than 20%, while about 45% of investors kept their losses under 10%. Earlier reports indicated that Eugene had already reduced his position and taken profit before the Black Swan Event occurred, successfully lowering his risk exposure.