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#比特币价格走势分析 The BWT divergence pattern has appeared again, this time it's quite interesting. Previously, in May 2022, after the divergence broke, it directly entered a bear market. The current pattern is similar but the background is different – the forced selling of panic chips is gradually being cleared, which indeed provides the conditions for a rebound.
The key is how to deal with this rebound. I've been observing several traders who excel at short-term operations recently, and their position allocation logic is quite clear: before the divergence is completely broken, they test the upper pressure with small positions. Once the divergence between BWT and price holds, they gradually increase their positions. But there is a pitfall here – the wave in 2022 also started like this, but in the end, it still fell into a pit. Therefore, it is essential to set a stop-loss position when the key support is broken.
I tend to look at the Rebound rather than bet on a reversal, because from the perspective of on-chain chip accumulation, although panic selling is clearing, we are not yet at the stage of complete capitulation. It is better to follow those traders with a strong sense of rhythm and let them test the upper space. We should remain on the sidelines until they confirm the trend reversal, which allows us to not miss out on the gains from the Rebound while also avoiding the risk of missing out again.
What the market fears most is not making the wrong direction, but getting the rhythm wrong. Just wait.