Investment Methodology: The "Three-Layer Filter" Decision-Making Framework for the Year of the Horse Crypto Market
In the highly volatile crypto market, establishing a clear decision-making framework is more important than predicting specific price points. The "Three-Layer Filter" framework I summarized can effectively filter out noise and improve decision success rates:
1. Macro Filter: Prioritize assessing macro variables such as Federal Reserve monetary policy and regulatory policies. For example, the core premise for the market rebound in February was "easing rate hike expectations + short-term cooling of regulatory lawsuits," which created a safety margin for capital entry.
2. Sector Filter: Focus on sectors with "clear narratives + feasible implementation," such as AI + public chains, Layer2, stablecoins, etc. Avoid participating in "hotspot speculation" lacking long-term logic.
3. Technical Filter: Use key support/resistance levels to verify trends. For example, the breakthrough of BTC at $68,000 or the validity of ETH at $1,600 support are important decision signals.
In the Year of the Horse market, the core of this framework is "maintaining integrity while seeking innovation": using macro and sector filters to safeguard the fundamentals, employing technical filters to capture short-term opportunities, and maximizing return flexibility under risk control. #深度创作营
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Investment Methodology: The "Three-Layer Filter" Decision-Making Framework for the Year of the Horse Crypto Market
In the highly volatile crypto market, establishing a clear decision-making framework is more important than predicting specific price points. The "Three-Layer Filter" framework I summarized can effectively filter out noise and improve decision success rates:
1. Macro Filter: Prioritize assessing macro variables such as Federal Reserve monetary policy and regulatory policies. For example, the core premise for the market rebound in February was "easing rate hike expectations + short-term cooling of regulatory lawsuits," which created a safety margin for capital entry.
2. Sector Filter: Focus on sectors with "clear narratives + feasible implementation," such as AI + public chains, Layer2, stablecoins, etc. Avoid participating in "hotspot speculation" lacking long-term logic.
3. Technical Filter: Use key support/resistance levels to verify trends. For example, the breakthrough of BTC at $68,000 or the validity of ETH at $1,600 support are important decision signals.
In the Year of the Horse market, the core of this framework is "maintaining integrity while seeking innovation": using macro and sector filters to safeguard the fundamentals, employing technical filters to capture short-term opportunities, and maximizing return flexibility under risk control. #深度创作营