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# 比特币技术分析
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GateUser-fc671c42
#比特币技术分析 The US rate hike has landed, and the market is full of bullish voices. But I have to pour some cold water — these analysts' projected numbers sound quite appealing, with key resistance levels at 98,600 to 107,000, and strong resistance at 112,500. I looked at it for a long time, and the most insightful comment was actually "the market complexity is relatively high during this process."
What does high complexity mean? It means high uncertainty and many risk points. Over the years, I’ve stepped into too many pits, and what I fear most is when a bunch of people are all bullish — that’s
What does high complexity mean? It means high uncertainty and many risk points. Over the years, I’ve stepped into too many pits, and what I fear most is when a bunch of people are all bullish — that’s
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FlowersInTheClearSky
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Lies🤫 Secrets of the heavens must not be revealed:#比特币技术分析 Seeing the Federal Reserve's rate hike landing, the market's reaction and the logic behind it are worth a careful analysis. This isn't the first time we've witnessed such a milestone—whenever major macro variables settle, the market begins to truly price in them.
The unanimous vote on the decision was once seen as a dark cloud hanging over the market. But today's reaction tells us that this expectation has long been fully digested. Bitcoin surged over 2% in the short term, and more importantly, we see those long-silent major players start to speak up, especially that trader who hasn'
The unanimous vote on the decision was once seen as a dark cloud hanging over the market. But today's reaction tells us that this expectation has long been fully digested. Bitcoin surged over 2% in the short term, and more importantly, we see those long-silent major players start to speak up, especially that trader who hasn'
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#比特币技术分析 US rate hike landing, market sentiment has indeed improved. After reviewing the technical analysis by San Mu Xia, I believe this judgment has some reference value—$98,600 to $107,000 as a key resistance zone, and $112,500 as a strong resistance level. These levels are worth paying close attention to.
However, there is a detail worth pondering: what does the market consensus on bullishness usually imply? Recently, my strategy adjustment when copying trades is that when analysts are highly aligned, I will proactively reduce my position size in the copy trades, and even start to cut pos
However, there is a detail worth pondering: what does the market consensus on bullishness usually imply? Recently, my strategy adjustment when copying trades is that when analysts are highly aligned, I will proactively reduce my position size in the copy trades, and even start to cut pos
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#比特币技术分析 BTC held at 115,000, and the Galaxy folks said that 2026 would be so volatile that it would be unpredictable🤔 But isn't this the real opportunity? The all-time high is still there, and the $250,000 target by the end of 2027 is enough to excite people. Stablecoins surpass ACH, Solana enterprise applications, institutional ETFs flooding in… all these signals indicate that the foundation for a bull market is being built. Large fluctuations = great opportunities, the key is whether you can withstand the mindset. Is anyone continuing to buy in at this level, or are they waiting for a pul
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#比特币技术分析 Just saw the analysis of Ethereum's key support level at $2772, feeling a bit nervous 😅 The technical weakening sounds like a bad sign...
I'd like to ask everyone, what exactly does this "key support level" mean? Does it mean the price will bounce back when it hits this point, or does it mean it's over once it breaks below? If it breaks below $2772, the next support levels are at $2489 and $1866. Why are these numbers so far apart?
Recently I've been learning technical analysis, and with so much data and information, I feel a bit overwhelmed, but I also worry about missing important
View OriginalI'd like to ask everyone, what exactly does this "key support level" mean? Does it mean the price will bounce back when it hits this point, or does it mean it's over once it breaks below? If it breaks below $2772, the next support levels are at $2489 and $1866. Why are these numbers so far apart?
Recently I've been learning technical analysis, and with so much data and information, I feel a bit overwhelmed, but I also worry about missing important
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#比特币技术分析 Seeing this wave of data is truly exciting! The RSI indicators for BTC and ETH both fell below 30 into the extremely oversold zone, which has been rare in the past three years. History shows that whenever such extreme signals appear, it often indicates that market sentiment has been overly released, and the rebound momentum is building.
Especially with the ETH/NASDAQ ratio approaching the 0.11 historical bottom, based on mean reversion logic, there is a 50-100% upside potential in the coming months. Moreover, considering the macro background where the Federal Reserve may restart quan
View OriginalEspecially with the ETH/NASDAQ ratio approaching the 0.11 historical bottom, based on mean reversion logic, there is a 50-100% upside potential in the coming months. Moreover, considering the macro background where the Federal Reserve may restart quan
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#比特币技术分析 Weekly RSI drops to 35, which is an extremely oversold level since January 2023. Historically, during that time, BTC price was in the 15,500-17,000 range, whereas now it has reached 80,500. From a data perspective, the Stochastic RSI indicates the deepest oversold level in the cycle, and the short-term rebound probability is indeed increasing.
However, it is important to note that oversold conditions do not necessarily mean a bottom. Looking at the BTC/NASDAQ 100 ratio, although it is close to the historical bottoming area, mean reversion requires policy support—variables like quanti
However, it is important to note that oversold conditions do not necessarily mean a bottom. Looking at the BTC/NASDAQ 100 ratio, although it is close to the historical bottoming area, mean reversion requires policy support—variables like quanti
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#比特币技术分析 The dust has settled on Japan's rate hike, and the market reaction is very straightforward—Bitcoin led the rebound, and analysts are unanimously bullish. This wave of market movement has given me a lot of inspiration; here are some practical technical points.
First, look at resistance levels: $98,600 - $107,000 is a key zone, and $112,500 is the true strong resistance. This means that short-term breakthroughs won't be smooth sailing, but the direction is clear. The Federal Reserve's balance sheet expansion expectations combined with sideways technical patterns—once these conditions a
First, look at resistance levels: $98,600 - $107,000 is a key zone, and $112,500 is the true strong resistance. This means that short-term breakthroughs won't be smooth sailing, but the direction is clear. The Federal Reserve's balance sheet expansion expectations combined with sideways technical patterns—once these conditions a
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#比特币技术分析 Seeing the recent analysis about RSI being extremely oversold, I want to share an observation with everyone.
Technical indicators are indeed speaking—BTC weekly RSI has fallen to its lowest level in nearly three years, and the ratio of ETH to the Nasdaq has also touched historical lows. From a data perspective, all these point to one signal: the market may have reached an extreme sentiment.
But I want to emphasize that oversold indicators ≠ an immediate buy signal. These signals only tell us that the possibility of a short-term rebound is increasing, and market sentiment has become o
View OriginalTechnical indicators are indeed speaking—BTC weekly RSI has fallen to its lowest level in nearly three years, and the ratio of ETH to the Nasdaq has also touched historical lows. From a data perspective, all these point to one signal: the market may have reached an extreme sentiment.
But I want to emphasize that oversold indicators ≠ an immediate buy signal. These signals only tell us that the possibility of a short-term rebound is increasing, and market sentiment has become o
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#比特币技术分析 This technical analysis is quite interesting. Although the prediction suggests that Bitcoin will oscillate between $83,000 and $95,000 in the short term, I am more focused on the key level of $75,000. Experience tells me that the market often tests this important support level. I plan to closely monitor this area, and if a rebound signal appears, I might consider entering a small position. However, for now, it's best to stay cautious, as the Federal Reserve's policy outlook remains uncertain. At such times, it's better to watch more and act less, patiently waiting for a clearer direc
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