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2026 Crypto market macro analysis: PPI data soars, rate-hike risk rises
Macroeconomics
Monetary Policy
Commodities
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Forex
bitcoin news

2026 Crypto market macro analysis: PPI data soars, rate-hike risk rises

In May 2026, the consecutive “blowout” of U.S. inflation data is profoundly rewriting the pricing logic for global risk assets. In data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on May 13 local time, April’s Producer Price Index (PPI) rose year over year to 6.0%, far above the market expectation of 4.9%, and surged 1.4% month over month, marking the largest single-month increase since March 2022. After excluding food and energy with higher volatility, core PPI climbed 5.2% year over year,

NG1.12%
BTC3.33%
LUNA0.32%
GLDX-0.56%
6h ago

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US Senate reviews CLARITY bill: gambling landscape, passage probability, and market impact

bitcoin news
ethereum news
On May 12, 2026, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee released an alternative text of the 309-page “Digital Assets Clarity Act.” Compared with the earlier 278-page version from January, this updated draft covers the results of the game-theory outcomes from multiple rounds of negotiations throughout the spring. The core logic of the bill is to end the SEC vs. CFTC jurisdiction dispute that has dragged on for years, and to establish a predictable digital asset classification framework. Under the “mat
BTC3.33%
ETH2.9%
8h ago
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Polymarket popular prediction: What price will SOL reach in 2026?

solana news
As of May 14, 2026, according to Gate market data, SOL is trading at $91, down 4.3% over the past 24 hours. In the same time window, the cumulative trading volume on Polymarket—the prediction market event “What price will SOL reach in 2026?”—has already exceeded $715k, making it one of the hottest prediction events in the current crypto space. The pricing divergence from $20 to $600 is not just a game of odds—it reflects the market’s core disagreement over expectations for Solana’s fundamentals,
13h ago
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Polymarket popular predictions: Who will win the Coppa Italia title—Inter Milan or Lazio?

Prediction Market
The Coppa Italia final of the 2025–2026 season is set to kick off at 3:00 a.m. Beijing time on May 14 at Rome’s Stadio Olimpico, where Inter Milan and Lazio will compete for the season’s final domestic cup trophy. Source: Polymarket In Polymarket’s crypto prediction-market contracts for this matchup, total trading volume has already exceeded $85,000. Current market pricing shows Inter Milan’s win probability at 56%, the draw probability at 27%, and Lazio’s win probability at 17%. This probabilit
05-13 13:44
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Federal Reserve Chair Swapped: Powell Steps Down, Handover to Warsh; FOMC Interest Rate Decision Brings a Major Turning Point

bitcoin news
As of May 13, 2026, the U.S. Senate has completed the final confirmation process for the chairman nomination. Kevin Warsh is about to succeed Jerome Powell as the 17th Chair of the Federal Reserve. Powell’s term as chair will officially end on May 15—tomorrow. And the FOMC interest rate decision that was originally scheduled for the same day has been postponed to June 16–17 due to the personnel handover process, to be chaired by Warsh for the first policy meeting after taking office. This means
05-13 07:04
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Polymarket’s popular prediction: What price will XRP reach in May?

XRP news
As of May 13, 2026, XRP is trading at $1.447 on Gate. Over the past 24 hours, the XRP price has fallen 1.52%; over the past 7 days, it has risen 2.17%. The current circulating supply of XRP is about 6.179 billion XRP, corresponding to a market cap of about $8.955 billion. Against the backdrop of the crypto asset price discovery mechanism continuously evolving, the forecast market is becoming a high-frequency window that reflects collective market expectations. A series of Polymarket contracts ar
XRP4.31%
ONDO5.8%
05-13 02:25
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A flood of major macro catalysts is coming this week: a panoramic breakdown from the release of CPI to the consideration of the CLARITY bill

Macroeconomics
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In mid-May 2026, the cryptocurrency market is going through an extremely rare macro-sensitive window. U.S. April CPI data will be released on May 12, the Trump-Xi Beijing summit is scheduled for May 13 to 15, and the Senate Banking Committee will review the CLARITY Act (the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act) on May 14. Three independent but highly interconnected events will land within just four days, creating a phase-by-phase stress test for the pricing mechanism of crypto assets. Event calendar
BTC3.39%
ETH2.92%
SOL3.18%
05-12 12:11
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The macro cycle begins: How the standoff between the US and Iran and oil prices breaking $100 affect Bitcoin pricing?

bitcoin news
In the second week of May 2026, global financial markets find themselves at a rare point of macro crosscurrents. The U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement is on the verge of breaking down, geopolitical risk around the Strait of Hormuz is surging rapidly, and international oil prices have returned to above $100 and refreshed recent highs. At the same time, the U.S. April CPI data will be released tonight, and the Cleveland Fed projects the year-over-year rate will rise to 3.56%. These two forces are infl
BTC3.39%
05-12 06:56
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Polymarket popular predictions：Will LeBron James retire before the next NBA season?

As the 2026 NBA playoffs rage on, a topic that sits above the action on the court has been drawing sustained attention in crypto prediction markets—whether 41-year-old LeBron James will bid farewell to professional basketball before next season. On Polymarket, the total amount wagered around this event has surpassed $45k, and the implied retirement probability currently shown by the market is about 20%. This figure not only reflects traders’ collective view of the endgame of a superstar’s career
BTC3.39%
05-12 02:59
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Ethereum TVL’s share falls to 54%, hitting a new low in nearly 2 years—how are competing chains reshaping the DeFi landscape?

On-Chain Data
Market Analysis
ethereum news
On-chain data shows that Ethereum DeFi total value locked (TVL) as a share of the entire market has fallen to 54%, hitting a stage low since 2024. Meanwhile, its absolute locked value remains at $45.4 billion (USD), significantly higher than other public chains. This combination of “share declining but scale leading” reflects that the DeFi market is moving from single-chain dominance toward a phase of multi-chain coexistence. The change in share is not simply a matter of capital flowing out, but
ETH2.92%
SOL3.18%
BNB2.25%
OP1.71%
05-11 11:09
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