Strategy Says $49B Bitcoin Reserve Can Withstand Severe Price Crash to $8K

BTC-0.76%
  • Strategy says its Bitcoin holdings cover net debt more than eight times at current prices.

  • Even if Bitcoin falls to $8,000, the company says reserves would match total debt.

  • Strategy is still buying Bitcoin despite over $5 billion in unrealized losses.

Michael Saylor, the executive chairman of Strategy, stepped forward to defend the company’s Bitcoin position as markets remain volatile. He highlighted fresh balance sheet data to show how the firm manages risk. The update centers on debt coverage and long-term planning. As a result, attention shifted from short-term losses to structural strength.

Our plan is to equitize our convertible debt over the next 3–6 years. https://t.co/yRsCuCRNHl

— Michael Saylor (@saylor) February 15, 2026

Bitcoin Holdings Provide Debt Cushion

Strategy’s latest figures compare Bitcoin reserves with outstanding obligations. At a Bitcoin price near $69,000, the company’s holdings stand around $49.3 billion. Net debt sits close to $6.0 billion. That means reserves cover debt more than eight times over.

The company also modeled a severe market downturn. If Bitcoin falls about 88% to $8,000, reserve value would drop near $6.0 billion. Even then, assets would align with total net debt. In that scenario, the coverage ratio would hold at roughly 1.0x.

Moreover, Strategy outlined its debt structure in detail. Convertible notes mature between 2027 and 2032. Therefore, the firm faces no near-term repayment pressure. Management plans to convert portions of this debt into equity over time. This approach reduces the need for additional senior borrowing.

During the fourth quarter earnings call, executives addressed downside risk directly. They indicated that real pressure would arise only if Bitcoin stayed near $8,000 for several years. Under current conditions, they described the balance sheet as stable.

Buying Continues Despite Paper Losses

Strategy recently reported more than $5 billion in unrealized losses. However, the company continued to add to its Bitcoin treasury. Last week, it purchased 1,142 BTC valued at about $90 million. The acquisition reflects a consistent accumulation strategy.

In addition, leadership signaled the possibility of further purchases. Regular updates from Saylor have often preceded new acquisitions. Strategy has maintained a quarterly pattern of expanding its Bitcoin reserves.

Investor response followed quickly. MSTR shares rose nearly 10% in pre-market trading after renewed buying signals. The move suggests confidence in the company’s long-term approach. Even so, some analysts warn about the volatility tied to holding large digital asset reserves.

Beyond corporate finance, Saylor has promoted Bitcoin at a policy level. He has encouraged U.S. officials to consider Bitcoin as part of strategic reserves. He views the asset as comparable to gold in long-term value storage. Strategy now presents its Bitcoin treasury as both growth strategy and financial safeguard.

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