Anonymous Trader Bets $50.7K on Axiom Insider Trading Accusation at 15.1% Odds

Polymarket predicts Taiwan's 2026 county and city elections with an "Kuomintang win rate of 88%"! Beware of trading violations of the Election and Recall Law

Recently, the prediction market Polymarket listed the "2026 Taiwan Local Elections: Party Winners" trading pair, showing that 88% of the funds are betting on the Kuomintang, while the Democratic Progressive Party accounts for only 12%. However, the total trading volume is less than $30,000, with few participants and insufficient representation. The market settlement is based on seats rather than votes, and participating in prediction markets in Taiwan may be illegal, facing serious legal risks. Additionally, prediction markets have insider trading issues, so caution is advised when participating.

Kalshi Bans MrBeast Staff Member in Insider Trading Investigation

Kalshi suspended a MrBeast employee for insider trading linked to private show details and penalized another user for publicizing a self-bet. This emphasizes the increasing scrutiny and regulations against market manipulation in prediction markets.

Zero tolerance for insider trading! Prediction platform Kalshi penalizes MrBeast's editor and former California gubernatorial candidate

Kalshi detected insider trading, with MrBeast employee fined $20,000 and banned from trading for 2 years for using non-public information. At the same time, California politician Kyle Langford was fined and banned from running for 5 years after betting on his own election prospects. Kalshi has strengthened compliance measures and partnered with monitoring platforms to improve market fairness and transparency. The CFTC expressed support for these actions and is accelerating the push for related legislation.

The predicted market size exceeds $3 billion, and by 2030 it may reach $10 billion. The crypto prediction platform is entering a period of rapid expansion.

Global prediction markets are rapidly expanding, with annual revenue exceeding $3 billion and expected to reach $10 billion by 2030, becoming a key sector of the crypto economy. Decentralized platforms like Polymarket enhance user engagement through transparent mechanisms, and institutions are actively utilizing prediction markets as data sources. Although facing regulatory uncertainties, the application of prediction markets in finance and information sectors is increasing, potentially driving the integration of Web3 and traditional finance in the future.

The probability of the event "Russia will enter Bilyts'ke (Ukraine) before February 28" on Polymarket has surged from 11% yesterday to 97%.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Polymarket website data shows the probability of "Russia entering Bilyts'k (Ukraine) before February 28" has surged from 11% yesterday to 97%, with trading volume exceeding $200,000. Additionally, the probability of "Russia entering Bilyts'k (Ukraine) before March 31" is currently reported at 96%.

Market Predictions: Kalshi Faces Multiple Controversies! MrBeast Employee Suspected of Insider Trading, California Gubernatorial Candidate Bets on Their Own Race

The prediction platform Kalshi has launched an investigation into 200 insider trading cases, with two well-known individuals accused of violations. Mr. Beast's editor Artem Kaptur was suspended for two years and fined $20,000 for abnormal trading activity; former California gubernatorial candidate Kyle Langford was banned for five years and fined $2,000 for betting on his own election prospects. The CFTC emphasized that it will pursue insider trading behaviors, while Kalshi plans to strengthen self-regulation.