2026-04-03 04:52:59

【From Volatility to Reversal: Bitcoin's Next Major Rally Is About to Begin!】

Since Bitcoin plummeted to 60,000, it has been trading within a flag pattern channel for the past two months. The price has been bouncing up and down within this structure, even reluctant to leave after breaking below it, indicating a liquidity crisis in the market.

Recently, our market predictions have been very accurate. On the monthly chart, we forecasted that there would be no continued downtrend and that a bullish candle would form. On the weekly chart, we predicted a rebound near 75,000. In the short-term daily chart, we anticipated that after breaking the flag pattern, there wouldn't be an acceleration downward; instead, a consolidation and rebound would occur, and that the price wouldn't break back into the channel, possibly only poking above the trendline for up to three days. All these predictions have been validated, which can only be attributed to skill rather than luck!

Looking ahead, after the rebound, the market cycle suggests that the sideways movement won't last much longer. Currently, only the 4-hour chart's lower support is holding on, and no larger divergence has appeared.

Today, Bitcoin continues to close below the lower boundary of the flag pattern. The MACD on the daily chart is beginning to extend downward. If the price continues to fall and breaks below the 65,000 support level, a decline toward around 63,000 could occur. After some consolidation there, a further breakdown could accelerate the downtrend. In that case, we should be looking for opportunities around 58,000.

Estimating the timing, the ongoing conflict might conclude in another week or two. After that, the U.S. will likely struggle to contain inflation, and ultimately, everyone will sit at the negotiation table, bargaining like merchants. The timing aligns with this scenario. If a chance below 58,000 or even lower appears, it would be a good opportunity to participate boldly.

The rebound in this phase could be quite significant, initially targeting around 70,000, which is a minor resistance. If surpassed, the next target would be near 79,000. The ultimate goal might be to fill the CME's daily gap, around 82,000. This market movement is worth looking forward to!

#BTC走势分析 $BTC #ETH走势分析 $ETH

ETH0.84%

BTC0.64%

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橙子研究院

2026-03-31 04:48:37

[Old T's Big Mouth Brings a Rebound? But the Downtrend Still Dominates!]

Big Pancake's weekly chart continues to close in the red, with two bullish candles already erasing the previous large bullish candle, indicating a clear bearish trend.

On the daily chart, it has closed below the lower edge of the descending flag pattern for three consecutive days, confirming a breakdown. We previously predicted that after this breakdown, there wouldn't be an immediate waterfall decline; instead, there would be oscillation and a rebound to the lower edge of the pattern, which has been fully validated in recent days. The rebound has already completed, and the daily price has not yet moved back into the channel!

The only variable remains Old T's overly confident mouth—saying whatever he wants. Driven by news, Big Pancake has recently rallied back into the channel, but the overall trend remains unchanged. In my personal view, the daily close still struggles to stay above the channel, or it may be that after three days of upward pinning, the price continues to decline!

The first resistance level above is 68,600, with a major resistance at 72,000.

Let's also look at Big Pancake CME 4-hour chart. There is a gap present, roughly between 71,650 and 73,610 (CME values differ from exchange prices). The highest rebound on the 23rd was 71,860. The price entered this gap but did not fill it, indicating clear resistance. This rebound is unlikely to be much different; stopping at this gap is a high-probability event!

Currently, do not blindly chase the rally. Focus on shorting at high levels or observing. The immediate support below remains at 64,000, and the major support is still waiting for a break below 60,000, with an entry opportunity around 58,000 after that!

#特朗普再挺比特币 $BTC #ETH走势分析 $ETH

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