Research

Gate Research: Over the past week, BTC experienced a sharp pullback on the 4-hour timeframe before gradually entering a low-level consolidation phase. ETH has underperformed BTC during the same period and remains in a downside structure. NEAR has gained approximately 39.62%, making it the top performer in this cycle. Arbitrum recorded a single-sided net outflow of about $235 million, with capital primarily reallocating to Base and other ecosystems. Amid geopolitical tensions, some capital has rotated into safe-haven assets, while other funds have shifted toward on-chain macro trading and hedging strategies—reflecting portfolio rebalancing rather than a broad-based sell-off. Meanwhile, increased activity on Polymarket has driven higher Polygon fee revenue, highlighting how real-world events are accelerating the conversion of macro narratives into on-chain cash flow.

e Research: Against the backdrop of heightened macro volatility and stronger cross-market linkage in 2026, Gate has structured macro trading into two complementary tracks and embedded it as account-level infrastructure: Gate TradFi (MT5+CFD) offers a professional on-ramp that aligns more closely with traditional rules and cost structures, while Gate Macro Perpetuals bring equities, metals, indices, FX, and commodities into a unified USDT-settled margin and risk-management framework within the futures account. As of February 11, Gate has listed 70+ macro perpetual contracts across five major asset categories; on the mechanism side, it uses Price-Hold to maintain pricing continuity during underlying market closures, and under position-splitting mode supports simultaneous long/short positions within the same market, mixed cross and isolated margin, and independent leverage settings for isolated long and short positions—thereby improving the executability of hedging, rebalancing, and strategy reuse.

Gate Research Daily Report: Amid ongoing economic uncertainty, Bitcoin remains within a downward channel. Ethereum is attempting to stabilize in the short term but has yet to achieve a decisive breakout above its key resistance zone. As risk appetite improved, FAI, SIREN, and BOBA surged more than 125%, 83%, and 58%, respectively, over the past 24 hours. Claude experienced a widespread service outage, affecting thousands of users globally. Digital asset investment products recorded $1 billion in inflows last week, ending a five-week streak of outflows totaling $4 billion. While tensions in the Middle East have heightened short-term volatility, the long-term outlook remains intact, with some traders positioning for a potential rebound.

Following the joint U.S.–Israel airstrikes on Iran, gold and crude oil gapped higher at Monday’s open, while global equities opened lower and Bitcoin volatility intensified. Prediction markets suggest that the probability of a full-scale war remains relatively low, though the risk of disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz is not negligible. If tensions ease on a temporary basis, commodity prices could see a meaningful pullback. Conversely, further escalation would raise the risk of another sharp surge in gold and oil prices. Bitcoin may face near-term pressure, with its medium-term trajectory likely dependent on global liquidity conditions. Gate has now launched trading segments covering metals, equities, indices, foreign exchange, and commodities. Through Gate TradFi, investors can access 24/7 trading to respond swiftly to market developments and capture emerging opportunities.

Gate Research: The depreciation of the USD is the result of long-term shifts in real purchasing power, fiscal dynamics, and real interest rates. Regulatory constraints within the traditional banking system have created offshore demand for dollars, which stablecoins are increasingly absorbing. The quality of collateral, transparency, and issuer credibility are becoming the key determinants of stablecoins’ price stability, liquidity priority, and long-term capital preference. Looking ahead to 2026, stablecoins are more likely to function as a “reservoir” and distribution layer for dollars, with their reserve-driven demand for short-term treasuries in turn beginning to influence the dollar’s own pricing structure.

Gate Research: On March 2, the crypto market continued to experience high-volatility consolidation, with BTC fluctuating around the $66,000–$67,000 range and ETH staging a recovery but failing to break out, while overall risk appetite remained subdued. Escalating tensions in the Middle East and sustained volatility in oil prices have increased macro uncertainty, with the Fear & Greed Index dropping to 10. Clear divergence emerged among small-cap and thematic tokens: SYND surged on exchange incentives and ecosystem partnership catalysts, ARC gained momentum on renewed AI narrative rotation, and CFG attracted buying interest following its listing on a Korean exchange, indicating that short-term price action is largely event-driven. On the headlines front, X lifted its ban on paid crypto promotions while strengthening disclosure requirements; SpaceX reportedly moved forward with a confidential IPO filing and disclosed holdings of 8,285 BTC; and Vitalik emphasized that AI is significantly accelerating Ethereum’s

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 2, the crypto market continued to trade in a high-volatility consolidation pattern, with BTC repeatedly fluctuating within the $66,000–$67,000 range and ETH rebounding but still in the process of trend confirmation, as overall risk appetite kept contracting. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East heightened macro uncertainty, driving gains in oil and gold, while the Fear & Greed Index fell to 10. Structurally, clear divergence emerged among small-cap and thematic assets: SYND surged on exchange incentives and ecosystem partnership catalysts, ARC strengthened amid renewed AI narrative rotation, and CFG attracted buying interest following its listing on a Korean exchange. On the industry front, X lifted its ban on paid crypto promotions while tightening disclosure requirements, SpaceX advanced its IPO plans and disclosed holdings of 8,285 BTC, and Vitalik noted that AI is significantly accelerating Ethereum’s development process, underscoring that innovation and

Gate Research Daily Report: On February 27, BTC rebounded after a sharp drop to $62,501 and is now consolidating above $67,000; ETH recovered from the $1,800 level and is holding near $2,020 in a high-level range; GT is showing a rebound-driven consolidation structure; POWER led the market with a +113.53% surge, while small-cap tokens such as DENT and RAVE also posted strong gains. A suspected insider earned over $411,000 on Polymarket by betting on ZachXBT’s allegations against Axiom; claims that Jane Street “manipulated the 10 a.m. Bitcoin dump” lack data support, with analysts pointing instead to ETF authorized participant mechanics; Circle shares broke above $90, with analysts saying the stock has “clearly decoupled” from broader crypto trends, as applications like Polymarket are seen as new growth drivers for USDC.

Gate Research Daily Report: On February 27, BTC rebounded after a sharp drop to $62,501 and is now consolidating above $67,000; ETH recovered from the $1,800 level and is holding near $2,020 in a high-level range; GT is showing a rebound-driven consolidation structure; POWER led the market with a +113.53% surge, while small-cap tokens such as DENT and RAVE also posted strong gains. A suspected insider earned over $411,000 on Polymarket by betting on ZachXBT’s allegations against Axiom; claims that Jane Street “manipulated the 10 a.m. Bitcoin dump” lack data support, with analysts pointing instead to ETF authorized participant mechanics; Circle shares broke above $90, with analysts saying the stock has “clearly decoupled” from broader crypto trends, as applications like Polymarket are seen as new growth drivers for USDC.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC has reclaimed $65,000 but remains capped by resistance at $66,000–$68,500, with prices likely to range between $60,000 and $70,000 in the near term. ETH has moved back above $2,000 but continues to trade within a descending channel, facing resistance at $2,050–$2,150. Altcoin sentiment has improved, though the broader market remains in “extreme fear.” CRYPTOBURG surged on exchange listing and airdrop expectations, while MBX and POWER gained on trading momentum and speculative flows. Nvidia’s Q4 revenue rose 73% year-over-year, reinforcing the AI narrative; Bitcoin funding rates turned negative, and short liquidations intensified positioning dynamics; Jane Street faces insider trading allegations, sparking regulatory debate. This week’s focus includes ZachXBT’s investigative report, Ethereum’s seven-fork Strawmap roadmap, and Circle’s better-than-expected earnings. Next week, watch for unlock pressure from SUI, JUP, and GRASS.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC has reclaimed $65,000 but remains capped by resistance at $66,000–$68,500, with prices likely to range between $60,000 and $70,000 in the near term. ETH has moved back above $2,000 but continues to trade within a descending channel, facing resistance at $2,050–$2,150. Altcoin sentiment has improved, though the broader market remains in “extreme fear.” CRYPTOBURG surged on exchange listing and airdrop expectations, while MBX and POWER gained on trading momentum and speculative flows. Nvidia’s Q4 revenue rose 73% year-over-year, reinforcing the AI narrative; Bitcoin funding rates turned negative, and short liquidations intensified positioning dynamics; Jane Street faces insider trading allegations, sparking regulatory debate.

On February 25, the crypto market saw a technical rebound, but overall conditions remain range-bound and largely driven by market sentiment, with BTC and ETH showing short-term recovery while medium-term direction remains unclear. Capital continues to rotate into high-narrative assets, with ENSO, ESP, and POWER strengthening on catalysts tied to cross-chain execution infrastructure, unified interaction layers, and funding tailwinds, respectively. Structurally, Ethereum RWA market capitalization has surpassed $15 billion, signaling accelerating real-world asset tokenization, while Gate continues to укрепen its spot and derivatives market share and advance TradFi and AI trading features—highlighting infrastructure build-out and compliance as key medium- to long-term themes.

Gate Research Daily Report: On February 25, the crypto market saw a technical rebound, but overall conditions remain range-bound and largely driven by market sentiment, with BTC and ETH showing short-term recovery while medium-term direction remains unclear. Capital continues to rotate into high-narrative assets, with ENSO, ESP, and POWER strengthening on catalysts tied to cross-chain execution infrastructure, unified interaction layers, and funding tailwinds, respectively. Structurally, Ethereum RWA market capitalization has surpassed $15 billion, signaling accelerating real-world asset tokenization, while Gate continues to укрепen its spot and derivatives market share and advance TradFi and AI trading features—highlighting infrastructure build-out and compliance as key medium- to long-term themes.

Gate Research Daily Report: Affected by factors including Trump’s proposed 15% global tariffs, Bitcoin lacks strong upward momentum. Ethereum continues to consolidate near its 20-day low, with multiple momentum indicators still pointing to a weak market structure. PIPPIN rose 16.62%, mainly driven by strong speculative buying and community momentum. POWER gained 12.05%, largely fueled by leveraged trading activity. Anthropic’s announcement on automating COBOL system modernization triggered an 11% drop in IBM’s share price. ZachXBT is set to release a major investigation, with prediction markets and Trump-related projects expected to face scrutiny. Vitalik sold 10,700 ETH this month at an average price of $2,027, drawing market attention.

In January, BTC and ETH trading volumes generally fluctuated at elevated levels. Market sentiment shifted from a recovery phase toward caution, with limited trend persistence. Stablecoin market capitalization across major blockchains remained highly concentrated, with Ethereum accounting for more than half of the total. Gold and silver prices reached record highs, while the market cap of tokenized commodities surpassed $5 billion. Prediction markets recorded a new monthly high of $12 billion in trading volume, with both activity and fees expanding in tandem. The Web3 industry completed 53 funding rounds in January, with capital primarily flowing into blockchain services and the CeFi sector. Smart contract vulnerabilities continued to be the leading source of Web3 security risks.